Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.024881 0.027325 0.029753 0.032340 0.035014 0.037691 0.040571
2025-02-02 0.020322 0.024187 0.028141 0.032463 0.037031 0.041696 0.046802
2025-02-09 0.016623 0.021354 0.026325 0.031877 0.037850 0.044041 0.050902
2025-02-16 0.014278 0.019659 0.025448 0.032026 0.039203 0.046723 0.055132
2025-02-23 0.012204 0.018044 0.024475 0.031903 0.040109 0.048787 0.058565
2025-03-02 0.010380 0.016547 0.023500 0.031658 0.040771 0.050492 0.061516
2025-03-09 0.008968 0.015407 0.022834 0.031672 0.041644 0.052356 0.064571
2025-03-16 0.007419 0.013973 0.021735 0.031119 0.041820 0.053399 0.066679
2025-03-23 0.006393 0.013103 0.021238 0.031201 0.042659 0.055131 0.069496
2025-03-30 0.005275 0.012013 0.020413 0.030853 0.042971 0.056242 0.071595
2025-04-06 0.004216 0.010899 0.019496 0.030348 0.043063 0.057074 0.073355
2025-04-13 0.002982 0.009379 0.017990 0.029085 0.042239 0.056844 0.073906
2025-04-20 0.002519 0.009023 0.018027 0.029762 0.043765 0.059376 0.077665
2025-04-27 0.001893 0.008328 0.017605 0.029887 0.044668 0.061233 0.080709
2025-05-04 0.001168 0.007287 0.016655 0.029322 0.044733 0.062116 0.082646
2025-05-11 0.000762 0.006713 0.016301 0.029467 0.045611 0.063905 0.085575
2025-05-18 0.000394 0.006044 0.015762 0.029348 0.046151 0.065287 0.088029
2025-05-25 0.000125 0.005364 0.015154 0.029110 0.046526 0.066459 0.090226
2025-06-01 0.000007 0.004855 0.014760 0.029124 0.047184 0.067941 0.092757
2025-06-08 NaN 0.004130 0.013973 0.028590 0.047156 0.068610 0.094350
2025-06-15 NaN 0.003729 0.013664 0.028669 0.047859 0.070116 0.096881
2025-06-22 NaN 0.003184 0.013064 0.028333 0.048036 0.070994 0.098683
2025-06-29 NaN 0.002625 0.012373 0.027845 0.048006 0.071615 0.100177